33023 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 33023 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33023, ~37% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33023 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33023 leans more Democratic than 64 of 72 neighbors.
33023 runs about 61 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33023 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33023. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+72) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 43 points.
Why 33023 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33023, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 33023 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 33023 have never been married, above 86% of zip codes. 33023 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33023, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33023 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33023 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 15%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in 33023 have completed high school, below 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.