33033 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 33033 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33033, ~24% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33033 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33033 leans more Republican than 8 of 19 neighbors.
33033 runs about 6 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33033. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+13) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 33033 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33033, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33033 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 92%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in 33033 are family households, above 91% of zip codes.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 33033, FL does.
Why turnout in 33033 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33033 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in 33033 rent, above 86% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in 33033 have completed high school, below 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.