33028 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 33028 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33028, ~41% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33028 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33028 leans more Democratic than 29 of 53 neighbors.
33028 runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33028 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 33028 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33028, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in 33028 hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 33028 sits in the top fifth on density (about 89%, above 87% of zip codes). 33028 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33028, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33028 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 33028 have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33028 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.