33029 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 33029 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33029, ~43% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33029 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33029 leans more Democratic than 24 of 40 neighbors.
33029 runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33029 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33029. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 33029 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33029, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in 33029 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 33029 is about 24%, about 48 points below the U.S. average of 72%. 33029 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33029, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33029 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in 33029 own their home, about 19 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33029 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.