33015 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 33015 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33015, ~19% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33015 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33015 leans more Republican than 61 of 75 neighbors.
33015 runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33015. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 33015 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33015, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33015 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 33015 are family households, above 89% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33015, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33015 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33015 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 27%, about 13 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in 33015 rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.