59404 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 88% of adults in 59404 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 59404, ~30% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 59404 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 59404 leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
59404 runs about 12 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 59404. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 59404 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 59404, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
59404 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, far above the Montana average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; 59404, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 59404 looks the way it does
Turnout in 59404 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.