33010 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 33010 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33010, ~13% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33010 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33010 leans more Republican than 68 of 75 neighbors.
33010 runs about 27 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33010. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 33010 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33010, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33010 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33010, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 33010 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33010 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 11 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 68% of households in 33010 rent, about 43 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in 33010 have completed high school, below 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.