33012 leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 45% of adults in 33012 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33012, ~12% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33012 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33012 is the most Republican-leaning.
33012 runs about 32 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33012. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 33012 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33012, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33012 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 33012, FL does.
Why turnout in 33012 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33012 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 11 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in 33012 rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in 33012 have completed high school, below 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.