33319 is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 33319 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33319, ~44% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33319 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33319 leans more Democratic than 54 of 56 neighbors.
33319 runs about 68 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33319 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33319. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 33319 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33319, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 33319 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 33319 have never been married, above 77% of zip codes. 33319 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33319, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33319 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33319 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.