33417 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 33417 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33417, ~29% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33417 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33417 leans more Democratic than 25 of 31 neighbors.
33417 runs about 37 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33417 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33417. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+34) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 33417 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33417, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in 33417 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. 33417 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33417, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33417 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33417 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in 33417 rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.