33470 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 33470 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33470, ~30% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33470 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33470 leans more Republican than 16 of 17 neighbors.
33470 runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33470. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 33470 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33470, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33470 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 85%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in 33470 are family households, above 94% of zip codes.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33470, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33470 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in 33470 own their home, about 23 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33470 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.