33616 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 33616 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33616, ~33% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33616 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33616 leans more Democratic than 35 of 55 neighbors.
33616 runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33616 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33616. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 33616 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33616, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33616 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33616 runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33616, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33616 looks the way it does
Turnout in 33616 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.