33868 is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 33868 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33868, ~17% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33868 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33868 leans more Republican than 14 of 15 neighbors.
33868 runs about 37 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33868. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 33868 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33868. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33868, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33868 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 89% of households in 33868 own their home, about 18 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33868 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.