33849 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 33849 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33849, ~16% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33849 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33849 is the most Republican-leaning.
33849 runs about 42 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33849. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 33849 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33849, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in 33849 are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 33849, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33849 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in 33849 own their home, about 23 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33849 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.