34234 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 34234 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34234, ~34% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34234 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34234 is the most Democratic-leaning.
34234 runs about 41 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34234 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34234. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+66) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 74 points.
Why 34234 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34234, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 91% of residents in 34234 live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 34234 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes. 34234 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 34234, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 34234 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34234 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 34234 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.