34251 is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 34251 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34251, ~16% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34251 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34251 is the most Republican-leaning.
34251 runs about 48 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34251. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 34251 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34251, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in 34251 are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34251, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34251 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in 34251 own their home, about 20 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.