34212 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 93% of adults in 34212 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34212, ~33% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34212 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34212 leans more Republican than 20 of 22 neighbors.
34212 runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34212. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 34212 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34212, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in 34212 are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but 34212 runs against that pattern.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34212, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 34212 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34212 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 34212 have completed high school, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.