34759 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 34759 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34759, ~38% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34759 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34759 leans more Democratic than 12 of 13 neighbors.
34759 runs about 27 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34759 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34759. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 34759 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34759, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34759 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34759 runs about 27 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 34759, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34759 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34759 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 9 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.