38075 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 38075 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38075, ~31% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38075 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38075 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 4 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
38075 runs about 32 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 38075 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38075. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+41), a spread of about 75 points.
Why 38075 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38075, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
38075 votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while 38075 runs about 32 points more Democratic.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38075, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 38075 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38075 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 14 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in 38075 have completed high school, below 85% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 38075 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.