38345 is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 38345 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38345, ~10% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38345 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38345 leans more Republican than 7 of 8 neighbors.
38345 runs about 43 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why 38345 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38345, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in 38345 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 38345 are family households, above 80% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 38345, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 38345 looks the way it does
Turnout in 38345 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.