38313 is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 38313 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38313, ~10% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38313 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38313 leans more Republican than 6 of 9 neighbors.
38313 runs about 39 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why 38313 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38313, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in 38313 drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 38313 are family households, above 85% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 38313, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 38313 looks the way it does
Turnout in 38313 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.