38781 is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 38781 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38781, ~60% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38781 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38781 leans more Democratic than 10 of 11 neighbors.
38781 runs about 99 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38781 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 38781 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38781, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 87% of residents in 38781 are Black or African American, about 50 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 63% of adults in 38781 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes. 38781 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38781, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 38781 looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 38781 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.