38746 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 38746 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38746, ~36% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38746 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38746 leans more Democratic than 4 of 9 neighbors.
38746 runs about 65 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38746 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38746. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 39 points.
Why 38746 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38746, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 79% of residents in 38746 are Black or African American, about 43 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 63% of adults in 38746 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes. 38746 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38746, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 38746 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38746 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 5%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in 38746 rent, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 49% of adults in 38746 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.