38864 is a Republican stronghold. About 9% of voters here vote Democratic and 91% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 38864 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38864, ~5% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38864 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38864 leans more Republican than 5 of 6 neighbors.
38864 runs about 58 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Why 38864 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38864, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 38864 live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Mississippi average of 15%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 38864 sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 90% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 38864 are family households, above 88% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 38864, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 38864 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38864 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 10%, about 50 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in 38864 have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in 38864 have completed high school, below 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.