38627 is a Republican stronghold. About 9% of voters here vote Democratic and 91% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 38627 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38627, ~5% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38627 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38627 leans more Republican than 4 of 5 neighbors.
38627 runs about 59 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38627. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+87) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+61), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 38627 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38627, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 38627 live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Mississippi average of 15%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 38627 fits that profile on both counts.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 38627, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 38627 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38627 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 9%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in 38627 have completed high school, below 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.