58201 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 58201 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58201, ~34% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58201 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58201 leans more Republican than 2 of 8 neighbors.
58201 runs about 32 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58201. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 32 points.
Why 58201 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 58201. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 58201, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 58201 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 58201 have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.