58202 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 24% of adults in 58202 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58202, ~14% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~76% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58202 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58202 is the most Democratic-leaning.
58202 runs about 56 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58202 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58202. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 58202 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58202, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in 58202 hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 58202 sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 96% of zip codes). 58202 runs against the grain of North Dakota, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 58202, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 58202 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 94% of households in 58202 rent, about 69 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 58202 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 58202 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.