78573 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 78573 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 78573, ~19% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 78573 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 78573 leans more Republican than 13 of 14 neighbors.
78573 runs about 8 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Why 78573 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 78573, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
78573 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 78%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in 78573 are family households, above 92% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 78573, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 78573 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 78573 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 66% of adults in 78573 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.