85208 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 85208 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85208, ~26% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85208 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85208 leans more Republican than 16 of 27 neighbors.
85208 runs about 12 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why 85208 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85208, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
85208 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 85208, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 85208 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85208 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.