95993 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 95993 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95993, ~23% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95993 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95993 leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
95993 runs about 44 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95993 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95993. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 95993 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95993, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95993 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, well above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 95993 are family households, above 79% of zip codes. 95993 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 95993, CA does.
Why turnout in 95993 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 8% of homes in 95993 have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.