85365 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 85365 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85365, ~23% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85365 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85365 leans more Republican than 4 of 5 neighbors.
85365 runs about 18 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85365. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 85365 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85365, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
85365 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 63%, well above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85365, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 85365 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85365 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in 85365 have more than one occupant per room, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.