85349 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 85349 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85349, ~23% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85349 compares
85349 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
85349 runs about 15 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85349 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85349. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 32 points.
Why 85349 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85349, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in 85349 have never been married, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 29%. 85349 runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85349, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 85349 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85349 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in 85349 report food insecurity, above 98% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 58% of adults in 85349 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.