85336 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 85336 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85336, ~22% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85336 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85336 leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.
85336 runs about 14 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85336 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 85336 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85336, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in 85336 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 27%). 85336 runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85336, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 85336 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85336 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in 85336 rent, compared to around 31% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in 85336 report food insecurity, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.