85626 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 39% of adults in 85626 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85626, ~23% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85626 compares
85626 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
85626 runs about 23 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85626 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85626. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 85626 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85626, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in 85626 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 26%). 85626 runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 85626, AZ does.
Why turnout in 85626 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85626 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 85626 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in 85626 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.