85607 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 85607 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85607, ~29% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85607 compares
85607 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
85607 runs about 18 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while 85607 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85607. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 47 points.
Why 85607 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85607, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in 85607 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 31%). 85607 runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85607, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 85607 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85607 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 36% of adults in 85607 report food insecurity, above 97% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in 85607 have completed high school, below 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.