88230 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 88230 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88230, ~13% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88230 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 88230 leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
88230 runs about 54 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88230 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 88230. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 88230 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88230, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in 88230 hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the New Mexico average of 24%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in 88230 drive to work alone, above 89% of zip codes. 88230 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 88230, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 88230 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 88230 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 25%, about 9 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in 88230 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in 88230 have completed high school, below 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.