89512 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 89512 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89512, ~28% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89512 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89512 leans more Democratic than 14 of 18 neighbors.
89512 runs about 22 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while 89512 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89512. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 89512 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89512, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 94% of residents in 89512 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 89512 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes. 89512 runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 89512, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 89512 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 89512 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 66% of households in 89512 rent, compared to around 50% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 89512 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.