89509 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 89509 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89509, ~43% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89509 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89509 leans more Democratic than 16 of 18 neighbors.
89509 runs about 28 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while 89509 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89509. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 89509 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89509, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 96% of residents in 89509 live in densely developed areas, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 89509 sits in the top quarter (about 50%, above 89% of zip codes). 89509 runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 89509, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 89509 looks the way it does
Turnout in 89509 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.