92860 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 92860 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92860, ~26% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92860 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92860 is the most Republican-leaning.
92860 runs about 41 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92860 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92860. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 92860 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92860, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92860 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, well above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in 92860 are family households, above 91% of zip codes. 92860 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 92860, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 92860 looks the way it does
Turnout in 92860 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.