94511 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 94511 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94511, ~24% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94511 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94511 leans more Republican than 9 of 12 neighbors.
94511 runs about 35 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 94511 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 94511 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94511, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
94511 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 94511 runs about 35 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 94511, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 94511 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in 94511 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.