94514 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 25% of adults in 94514 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94514, ~9% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~75% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94514 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94514 is the most Republican-leaning.
94514 runs about 49 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 94514 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 94514. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 94514 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94514, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
94514 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 94514 runs about 49 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 94514, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 94514 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 94514 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in 94514 rent, above 86% of zip codes. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 11% of homes in 94514 have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.