95254 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 95254 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95254, ~16% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95254 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95254 leans more Republican than 7 of 10 neighbors.
95254 runs about 69 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95254 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 95254 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95254, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95254 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95254 runs about 69 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 95254 sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 82% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 95254 are family households, above 84% of zip codes.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 95254, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 95254 looks the way it does
Turnout in 95254 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.