96776 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 96776 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96776, ~36% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96776 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96776 leans more Democratic than 3 of 4 neighbors.
96776 runs about 6 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96776. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 96776 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96776, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in 96776 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 24%).
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with heavy housing overcrowding tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96776, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96776 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in 96776 have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.