96783 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 96783 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96783, ~33% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96783 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96783 leans more Democratic than 5 of 7 neighbors.
96783 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Why 96783 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96783, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in 96783 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 25%).
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96783, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96783 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 17% of homes in 96783 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in 96783 rent, compared to around 21% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.