98952 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 98952 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 98952, ~24% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 98952 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 98952 is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, 98952 sits close to the rest of Washington.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 98952. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 98952 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 98952, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in 98952 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 23%).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 98952, WA does.
Why turnout in 98952 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 98952 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in 98952 rent, above 86% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in 98952 have completed high school, below 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.