99202 leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 99202 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99202, ~36% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99202 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 99202 leans more Democratic than 27 of 32 neighbors.
99202 runs about 8 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 99202. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+49) and the east side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 51 points.
Why 99202 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99202, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 99202 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in 99202 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 99202, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 99202 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 52% of households in 99202 rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 99202 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.