99516 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 87% of adults in 99516 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99516, ~50% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99516 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 99516 leans more Democratic than 4 of 13 neighbors.
99516 runs about 28 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99516 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 99516. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 99516 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99516, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in 99516 hold a bachelor's degree, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 28%. 99516 runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 99516, AK sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 99516 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 99516 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 99516 own their home, compared to around 54% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 99516 have completed high school, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.