Adrian is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Adrian typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Adrian, ~19% vote Democratic, ~74% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Adrian compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Adrian leans more Republican than 18 of 50 neighbors.
Adrian runs about 42 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Adrian. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+56), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Adrian leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Adrian, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Adrian votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, about 14 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Adrian sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities).
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Adrian, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Adrian looks the way it does
Turnout in Adrian sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Archie, MO R+60
- Burdett, MO R+68
- Passaic, MO R+64
- Austin, MO R+61
- Everett, MO R+62
- Butler, MO R+50
- Virginia, MO R+66
- Main City, MO R+61
- Lone Tree, MO R+55
- Mayesburg, MO R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vermontville, MI R+43
- Lansing, NC R+54
- Jane Lew, WV R+60
- Milan, MO R+42
- Orrtanna, PA R+43
- Spring Valley, WI R+29
- Kapaau, HI D+26
- Delavan Lake, WI R+22
- Nauvoo, AL R+86
- Hickman, KY R+41
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.