Alfred leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 22% of adults in Alfred typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alfred, ~10% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~78% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alfred compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alfred is the least Republican-leaning.
Alfred runs about 18 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Alfred is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alfred. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Alfred leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alfred, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Alfred votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Alfred runs about 18 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Alfred, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Alfred looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 36% of households in Alfred rent, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 95% of adults in Alfred have completed high school, above 78% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alfred Station, NY R+19
- Almond, NY R+31
- Fulmer Valley, NY R+40
- Phillips Creek, NY R+11
- West Almond, NY R+28
- Andover, NY R+42
- South Hornell, NY R+42
- Bishopville, NY R+49
- West Greenwood, NY R+61
- Hornell, NY R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Renfrew, PA R+37
- Assonet, MA R+14
- Loudonville, OH R+55
- Elk, WA R+43
- Hollis Center, ME R+30
- Newcastle, WY R+64
- Nunica, MI R+32
- Landis, NC R+34
- Lavaca, AR R+65
- West Liberty, OH R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.