Hornell leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Hornell typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hornell, ~22% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hornell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hornell leans more Republican than 4 of 87 neighbors.
Hornell runs about 39 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hornell is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hornell. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Hornell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hornell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hornell votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 72%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Hornell runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hornell, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hornell looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in Hornell rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Hornell, NY R+40
- South Hornell, NY R+42
- Canisteo, NY R+46
- Arkport, NY R+50
- Almond, NY R+31
- Bishopville, NY R+49
- Alfred Station, NY R+19
- Howard, NY R+52
- Buena Vista, NY R+53
- Haskinville, NY R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tamaqua, PA R+38
- Woodmoor, CO R+25
- Abingdon, MD D+8
- Campobello, SC R+65
- Darby, PA D+80
- West Frankfort, IL R+50
- Centerville, GA R+6
- Bunker Hill, WV R+42
- Miles City, MT R+39
- Whitsett, NC D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.